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The UNKNOWN becomes KNOWN
Why did the Granary Dominate? Part 7
Yes — absolutely yes.
And this is one of the few cases where human-first design and market logic actually align.
The market can see the same output volume (or higher) with significantly lower total cost when duplication is removed and the granary is reduced to its proper size.
Let’s make that concrete and non-ideological.
1. Why duplication inflates cost without increasing output
In the Earth 1.0 model, output volume looks high, but cost is multiplied invisibly:
Each duplicated manufacturer carries:
Its own factory CAPEX
Its own tooling
Its own supply chain
Its own logistics
Its own admin, HR, finance, legal
Its own compliance and marketing
Its own failure rate
Its own management hierarchy
From the market’s point of view:
Consumers see “choice”
Investors see “competition”
But structurally:
Society pays the cost of N parallel systems producing the same function.
That cost is buried in:
Prices
Wages
Stress
Debt
Waste
Human load
2. What happens in a hub + skins model
With a single (or very few) core hubs producing the functional base:
The market still gets:
The same number of washing machines
The same (or greater) variety
Faster iteration
Higher reliability
Better repairability
But society removes:
Redundant factories
Redundant supply chains
Redundant coordination layers
Redundant compliance
Redundant management roles
So output volume stays flat or rises, while system cost collapses.
3. Where the savings actually appear
The savings are not just in manufacturing:
CAPEX: one world-class plant instead of dozens
OPEX: fewer logistics loops
Labour: less admin per unit
Energy: fewer parallel processes
Waste: fewer failed variants
Cognitive load: fewer systems to manage
This is why you can lower:
Unit cost
Lifetime cost
Maintenance cost
Environmental cost
Human cost
Simultaneously.
That combination is rare — but this is one of the architectures where it’s real.
4. Why the market struggles to “see” this at first
Markets are good at pricing:
Units
Brands
Margins
Short-term returns
They are bad at pricing:
Duplication
Systemic overhead
Long-term fragility
Human load
Opportunity cost of complexity
So initially, the model looks:
“Too centralised”
“Anti-competitive”
“Risky”
Until scale reveals the truth.
5. Historical proof (without ideology)
We’ve already seen this pattern succeed:
Chip fabrication: few fabs, many designs
Operating systems: few kernels, many interfaces
Airframes: few platforms, many variants
Shipping containers: one standard, global flow
Cloud infrastructure: shared core, custom layers
In every case:
Output volume rose
Costs fell
Reliability increased
Creativity moved to the edges
Manufacturing is simply late to adopt the same logic.
6. The key inversion the market must accept
The crucial shift is this:
Competition should happen at the skin layer, not the core function layer.
Once that’s accepted:
Innovation accelerates
Prices drop
Waste collapses
Granary shrinks
Humans stop being consumed by maintenance roles
7. The clean answer to your question
So to answer you directly:
Yes.
The market can absolutely see the same output volume with far lower overall cost — if duplication is removed at the core and variety is moved to skins.
What prevents this is not economics.
It’s legacy incentives and control structures.
8. The sentence that anchors it
If you want the one line that captures the economic truth:
Duplication inflates cost without increasing value; platforms collapse cost without reducing choice.
That’s why this model isn’t just humane —
it’s inevitable once seen clearly.